Vietnam needs to do more after market upgrade to lure up to $20bn in int'l capital: experts
Vietnam needs to undertake further reforms following its recent stock market upgrade to attract and retain international capital, with an improved sovereign credit rating key to attracting greater inflows into the bond market, potentially worth US$10-20 billion, according to securities and bond market experts.
The comments were made at a press conference in Hanoi on Wednesday to announce the 31st Asia Securities Forum Annual General Meeting, which Vietnam will host for the first time from September 30 to October 3.
The conference comes shortly after Vietnam's stock market was upgraded by FTSE Russell from frontier-market to secondary emerging-market status on Monday, marking a milestone after years of reforms aimed at attracting international investors.
Upgrade opens door to more international capital
Hoang Hai Anh, vice-chairwoman of the Vietnam Association of Securities Business, said the FTSE Russell upgrade was the result of a lengthy reform process by regulators and market participants.
The milestone has brought Vietnam's market closer to the international investor community, but the upgrade is only a 'necessary condition,' she said.
To attract international capital and retain it in Vietnam over the long term, the country needs a clear market development and positioning strategy, Anh said.
She cited several regional markets that have built distinctive advantages, with Singapore positioning itself as a gateway for international capital into Asia, Malaysia leveraging its strength in Islamic finance, and Thailand focusing on market liquidity.
"Vietnam also needs to find its own market positioning," Anh said.
Besides market infrastructure, an important task is to improve the capabilities and quality of listed companies.
Anh compared market infrastructure to roads and traffic signs, saying good infrastructure is necessary, but market performance also depends on the quality of the 'vehicles' and market participants.
For Vietnam's stock market, this means improving corporate governance, transparency, and competitiveness alongside infrastructure development.
She cited Japan's long-term efforts to improve corporate capabilities and South Korea's programs to strengthen corporate governance and address the issue of undervalued stocks, commonly known as the 'Korea discount.'
The upcoming forum will bring together representatives from various international associations and organizations, while proposals to organize sessions specifically focusing on Vietnam have received support from international experts and speakers, Anh said.
Pham Phu Khoi, general secretary of the Vietnam Bond Market Association, estimated that potential international capital inflows into Vietnam's bond market could reach $10-20 billion if the necessary conditions are met.
Improving sovereign credit rating key to bond market
Khoi said the FTSE Russell upgrade would initially have a direct impact on Vietnam's stock market.
Passive investment funds could channel around $1.2-1.5 billion into Vietnamese stocks, while some analyses put the figure at around $2 billion.
However, the impact could extend beyond equities to the bond market, where international investor participation remains limited.
One of the key obstacles to attracting international bond investors is credit ratings.
Many international bond investors, particularly institutions with strict investment rules, require a country or issuer to meet certain investment-grade criteria before allocating capital, Khoi said.
Vietnam therefore needs to improve its sovereign credit rating, which could help raise the ratings of Vietnamese companies, reduce fundraising costs, and extend the maturities of capital raised.
If these conditions improve, bond-market inflows could be considerably greater than those into equities.
Global macroeconomic conditions would also influence international capital flows, Khoi said, with geopolitical tensions, oil price fluctuations, inflation and bond yields in major economies affecting international investors' capital allocation decisions.
When yields in developed markets remain high, emerging economies such as Vietnam face greater difficulty and higher costs in raising international capital.
This makes it important for Vietnam to strengthen its domestic fundamentals, particularly by improving its sovereign and corporate credit ratings, Khoi stressed.
Source: Vinh Tho – Binh Khanh / Tuoi Tre News
Photo: Organizers
