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Vietnam's credit-to-GDP ratio at 145%, tripling 'BB' peers' median of 52%

Vietnam's credit-to-GDP ratio at 145%, tripling 'BB' peers' median of 52%

Vietnam's credit growth of 19.1% in 2025 increased from 15.1% in 2024, lifting the country's credit to the economy to 145% of the GDP by end-2025, Fitch Ratings said in a Wednesday commentary.

145% is almost triple the median of 52% for other countries with similar long-term foreign-currency issuer default rating (IDR) at "BB", the credit rating agency stressed.

While rapid credit growth can boost activity in the short term, it can also steer lending into low-return or speculative uses, which can inflate asset prices and raise the risk of a later correction that can hurt banks, investment and overall growth. These dynamics are a key constraint on the sovereign credit profile even if near-term growth remains strong, according to Fitch.

The State Bank of Vietnam, the country's central bank, has set a 2026 credit growth target of 15%, below the 2025 outcome. There remains a risk that the target could be lifted materially, to support the ambitious growth objectives, as the authorities did in 2025, causing a faster build-up of leverage, it noted.

Fiscal stimulus could be another option the authorities might explore if growth falls short of the target. Vietnam’s general government debt remains lower than the ‘BB’ median of 51.4%, and Fitch expects it to rise to 33.5% in 2026 from an estimated 32.6% in 2025, partly due to stepped-up public infrastructure spending.

Besides, Fitch pointed out that To Lam was recently confirmed the General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam for a second term. The leadership will likely support effective execution of policy priorities, including lifting productivity through support for technology and innovation, greener growth and continued infrastructure spending.

Source: Tri Duc

Photo: Photo courtesy of Vietnam News Agency

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Vietnam’s footwear exports gain $29 bln in 2025

Vietnam’s footwear exports gain $29 bln in 2025

The country ranking as the second largest footwear exporter worldwide.

Vietnam earned nearly $29 billion from footwear exports in 2025, up 5% year-on-year, according to the Vietnam Leather, Footwear and Handbag Association (Lefaso).

The foreign-invested (FDI) sector remained the main growth driver, contributing $22.82 billion, or 80% of total export value, representing a sharp 17% increase compared to the previous year.

With these results, Vietnam ranked as the world’s third-largest footwear producer and the second-largest exporter.

The United States continued to be Vietnam’s biggest footwear market, importing products worth $11.01 billion. It was followed by the European Union with $6.88 billion, China with $1.78 billion, Japan with $1.61 billion, and the Republic of Korea with $776 million.

The sector now comprises nearly 3,000 enterprises and employs about 1.5 million workers, with an annual production capacity of approximately 1.3–1.4 billion pairs of shoes.

Investor approved for Ca Na LNG Power Plant project

Investor approved for Ca Na LNG Power Plant project

The project will include a 1,500 MW gas-fired power plant and an LNG terminal with a capacity of 1 to 1.2 million tons per year.

Under a recent decision of the People’s Committee of Khanh Hoa Province in South central Vietnam, an investor has been selected for the Ca Na LNG Power Plant project.

Accordingly, the Trung Nam - Sideros Rive Joint Venture has been awarded the investment and construction contract with a total capital of over VND57.384 trillion (over $2.2 billion), funded directly by the investor.

The Ca Na LNG Power Plant will be constructed in Ca Na Commune, spanning an area of approximately 265 ha.

The project’s primary objective is the commercial generation of electricity. Specifically, it will include a 1,500 MW gas-fired power plant and an LNG terminal with a capacity of 1 to 1.2 million tons per year, alongside other auxiliary facilities to ensure national energy security.

In addition, the project involves the construction of an LNG import port, a 2,400-meter-long eastern breakwater, and various supporting infrastructure works for the import terminal.

The project is scheduled to be completed and operational by December 31, 2030. The operational lifespan of the project is 50 years, starting from the date the investor is granted land allocation, land lease, or permission for land-use conversion by the competent authorities.

The plant is situated adjacent to Phase 1 of the Ca Na Industrial Zone (a 378-hectare site developed by the Trung Nam Ca Na Industrial Zone Infrastructure Investment Joint Stock Company) and the Ca Na General Seaport. This project cluster is expected to attract investment toward green energy usage and selective manufacturing activities that meet green and sustainable criteria.

Vietnam pushes for zero tariffs as tough US demands loom in trade talks

Vietnam pushes for zero tariffs as tough US demands loom in trade talks

Vietnam has proposed a list of goods eligible for zero tariffs when entering the U.S. market as the two countries prepare for a sixth round of reciprocal trade negotiations next week, a senior trade official said, acknowledging that Washington’s demands remain “very high.”

“We will make every effort to achieve positive progress and reach agreement with the partner on key issues,” Deputy Minister of Industry and Trade Nguyen Sinh Nhat Tan told a press briefing on Thursday.

To prepare for the upcoming talks, the Ministry of Industry and Trade (MoIT) and Vietnam’s negotiating delegation have coordinated with other ministries and agencies to develop negotiation scenarios, report to competent authorities, and convey Vietnam’s positions to the U.S., including the proposed zero-tariff product list, he said.

Tan acknowledged that the negotiations are challenging. “The partner’s demands are very high. Some requests go beyond reasonable levels and create difficulties for the talks, but we will continue to explain and persistently persuade them,” he said.

Alongside negotiations, Vietnam is taking steps to facilitate greater imports of U.S. goods and encourage American companies to invest in the country, aiming to address the trade imbalance as the U.S. records a significant trade deficit with Vietnam.

“The trade gap does not stem from direct competition between the two sides, but rather from the international division of labor and production,” the deputy minister explained, noting that the U.S. specializes in high-value, high-technology products.

According to MoIT data, Vietnam’s exports to the U.S. in 2025 are estimated at $153.2 billion, up 28.2% year-on-year, accounting for 32.2% of the country’s total export turnover.

The five product categories with highest export values accounted for 67.5% of Vietnam’s total exports to the U.S. They included computers, electronic products and components (estimated at $42.1 billion); machinery, equipment, tools and spare parts ($24.1 billion); textiles and garments ($17.9 billion); mobile phones and components ($9.9 billion); and wood and wood products ($9.5 billion).

Vietnam imported $19.3 billion worth of goods from the U.S. last year, up 27.7% year-on-year. Of this, five out of 44 major imported product categories accounted for 51.5% of total import value from the U.S., including computers, electronic products and components ($5.5 billion); cotton of all kinds ($1.4 billion); machinery, equipment, tools and spare parts ($1.3 billion); plastic raw materials (nearly $1.2 billion); and wood and wood products ($0.6 billion).

Vietnam and the U.S. on October 26, 2025 issued a joint statement on the Framework for a Balanced and Fair Reciprocal Trade Agreement after many months of negotiations. Accordingly, Vietnam will expand market preferences for most U.S. industrial and agricultural goods.

Meanwhile, the U.S. will maintain a 20% reciprocal tax rate for goods originating from Vietnam and consider applying a 0% tax rate to some products. The U.S. will identify products in the list set out in Annex III of Executive Order No. 14356 dated September 5, 2025 – “Potential Tariff Adjustments for Likely-Oriented Partners” – to enjoy a 0% reciprocal tariff rate.

Earlier, on August 1, 2025 (Vietnam time), the White House announced a Presidential Executive Order signed by Donald Trump, adjusting reciprocal tariff rates for 69 countries and territories listed in Annex I. Under the revision, the U.S. reduced the reciprocal tariff rate on Vietnam from 46% to 20%.

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