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Vietnam eyes 10% GDP growth rate by 2030

Vietnam eyes 10% GDP growth rate by 2030

The government targets GDP growth of at least 10% each year from 2026-2030, when it expects the country’s economy to be the third largest in Southeast Asia.

With GDP per capita of around $8,500 by then it also expects the country to be among the 30 largest global economies, Deputy Prime Minister Nguyen Hoa Binh said at the first Congress of the Government Party Organization for 2025-30 in Hanoi on Monday.

Vietnam’s GDP is projected to reach $510 billion this year, placing it 32nd globally, five places up from five years ago.

The per capita income is expected to rise to over $5,000 by year-end. It was $3,552 in 2020.

Economic growth is expected to exceed 8% this year, laying the foundation for double-digit growth in subsequent years.

Trade has increased steadily, and is projected to reach a record $850 billion this year, making Vietnam one of the 20 biggest global trading nations.

Over the next five years the government plans to develop a modern national education system aligned with regional and global standards, with the goal being to produce high-quality human resources.

Infrastructure will be modernized and synchronized, with urban areas driving regional growth and continued investment in new rural development.

Science, technology, innovation, and digital transformation will be key drivers, positioning Vietnam among leaders in upper-middle-income nations.

"Inflation will be controlled, ensuring public debt, government debt, foreign debt, and budget deficits remain within allowable limits," the Deputy PM said, adding that new growth drivers, including digital transformation, green transition, circular economy, and emerging sectors, will be prioritized.

He said that the public sector would continue to lead and guide the national economy but have the private sector as a vital driver.

Foreign direct investment will be selectively attracted, focusing on technology transfer.

The government also plans to complete 5,000 kilometers of expressways by 2030 and operationalize the coastal highway, the Lao Cai–Hanoi–Hai Phong railway, and urban rail systems in Hanoi (100 km) and Ho Chi Minh City (100 km).

For human resources, the government will prioritize high-quality talent development to international standards, particularly in key industries and 11 strategic technology sectors.

Breakthrough policies for science and technology will be accelerated to make the digital economy grow enough to contribute at least 30% of GDP by 2030.

At the opening of the meeting, Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh noted that "the country has achieved significant milestones in various fields," with results improving each year.

In 2026–30 term global conditions are expected to remain complex, with more risks than opportunities, and called for breakthrough solutions to maintain economic stability, control inflation and consistently achieve GDP growth of 10% or more for many years.

Source: Son Ha

Photo: VnExpress/Quynh Tran

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New airport near Hanoi to cost $7.5B

New airport near Hanoi to cost $7.5B

The cost of the under-construction Gia Binh International Airport near Hanoi is estimated to be at VND196.37 trillion (US$7.5 billion) following the recently approved upgrades to it.

The airport, in Bac Ninh Province 40 kilometers from Hanoi, will now handle 50 million passengers and 2.5 million tons of cargo a year by 2050 rather than the original 15 million and 1.6 million tons, according to a report by The State Appraisal Council.

Construction had begun in December last year, and the upgrades were approved recently by the Ministry of Construction.

It is envisioned as the northern region’s aviation gateway for passenger and cargo transport, and is being built by property developer Masterise Group.

It will have four runways spaced well apart to allow independent operations.

It will be built to 4F standards, meaning it can accommodate large aircraft such as Boeing 777 and Airbus A330.

Hanoi’s current main airport is Noi Bai International Airport with a capacity of 25 million passengers a year and to be expanded to 55 million by 2030 and 85 million by 2050.

Vietnam, China accelerate ACFTA 3.0 signing process

Vietnam, China accelerate ACFTA 3.0 signing process

Vietnam's key export products to China include agricultural produce (rice, coffee, cashews, fruits), seafood, electronic components, textiles, rubber, and crude oil.

Vietnam is finalizing its domestic procedures to proceed with signing the Protocol to upgrade the ASEAN-China Free Trade Agreement (ACFTA 3.0) as planned. This significant commitment marks a new step forward in bilateral economic relations, which have been elevated to a strategic level with the establishment of the "Vietnam-China Community with a Shared Future."

On the sidelines of the 47th ASEAN Summit in Malaysia, Vietnamese Minister of Industry and Trade Nguyen Hong Dien held a bilateral meeting with Chinese Minister of Commerce Wang Wentao on October 27.

During the meeting, the two ministers agreed that amidst complex developments in the regional and global economy, both sides need to strengthen and promote cooperation to create practical value for their citizens and businesses. The upgrade of ACFTA to version 3.0 will not only expand the scope of tariff preferences but also create a more favorable legal framework for trade in services, investment, and cooperation in new areas such as the digital economy and green transformation.

In recent years, China has affirmed its position as Vietnam's most important trading partner. In 2024, bilateral trade turnover reached $205.2 billion, setting a new record for bilateral commerce. This figure not only reflects the immense scale of trade but also highlights the high complementarity in the commodity structure between the two economies.

Data from the Vietnam Trade Office in China shows that strong growth momentum has been maintained in 2025. Export turnover to the Chinese market for the first 8 months recorded a 9.2% increase, 2.1 percentage points higher than the 7-month figure.

Vietnam's key export products to China include agricultural produce (rice, coffee, cashews, fruits), seafood, electronic components, textiles, rubber, and crude oil. Particularly, products such as durian, dragon fruit, mango, and passion fruit not only have a firm foothold but also recorded strong growth in the final months of 2025.

Conversely, Vietnam imports machinery, industrial equipment, raw materials for production, consumer goods, and electronic components from China.

High-Tech FDI boosts Vietnam's global value chain standing

High-Tech FDI boosts Vietnam's global value chain standing

Vietnam is targeting double-digit growth in the 2026–2030 period, with high-tech FDI expected to be one of the main drivers.

From an agricultural economy, Vietnam has undergone a powerful transformation to become a competitive industrial manufacturing hub in the region.

During this process, hi-tech FDI has played a pivotal role, with the presence of "eagles" like Samsung, LG, Intel, and Honda, among others.

These corporations have not only brought in capital and advanced technology but also contributed to reshaping industrial capabilities, training high-quality human resources, and paving the way for Vietnam to integrate more deeply into global value chains.

After 17 years of its operations in Vietnam, from an initial investment of $670 million in 2008, Samsung has now invested over $23.2 billion, running 6 factories and 1 research and development (R&D) center, making Vietnam the largest mobile phone production base outside of South Korea.

Other major names like LG, Intel, and Honda have also chosen Vietnam as a strategic production hub, maintaining their commitment for several decades.

According to data from 2015–2024, the processing and manufacturing industry has consistently led in FDI attraction, accounting for 50–80% of total registered capital. Many multi-billion dollar projects in electronics, semiconductors, renewable energy, and high technology have been flowing into Vietnam, contributing to elevating the nation's position on the global technology map.

According to Professor Nguyen Mai, a leading expert on foreign investment, "The presence of 'big eagles' like Samsung has created a strong spillover effect, attracting more high-tech investors and forming increasingly tight linked value chains in Vietnam."

However, experts also warn that to attract more strategic FDI projects, Vietnam needs to continue to significantly improve its investment environment.

This includes three key issues: first, upgrading technical and logistics infrastructure; second, developing high-quality human resources; and third, reforming investment incentive policies, especially for new sectors such as semiconductors, artificial intelligence (AI), and clean energy.

Vietnam is targeting double-digit growth in the 2026–2030 period, with high-tech FDI expected to be one of the main drivers.

According to experts, high technology, especially in strategic sectors, has a strong ripple effect. Attracting it first to learn, cooperate, and develop internal capabilities is a long-term approach that will help Vietnam not just be a manufacturing location but also a regional innovation hub.

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